CD49

Darrell Issa (R)

Congressional District - g12
Darrell Issa* (REP-Inc) 159,725 58.16%
Jerry Tetalman (DEM) 114,893 41.84%
President - g12
Mitt Romney (REP) 153,856 52.25%
Barack Obama* (DEM-Inc) 134,447 45.66%
US Senate - g12
Elizabeth Emken (REP) 151,156 53.31%
Dianne Feinstein* (DEM-Inc) 132,390 46.69%
Congressional District - g14
Darrell Issa* (REP-Inc) 98,161 60.17%
Dave Peiser (DEM) 64,981 39.83%
Governor - g14
Neel Kashkari (REP) 91,540 54.96%
Edmund G. Brown (DEM) 75,032 45.04%
Congressional District - g16
Darrell Issa* (REP-Inc) 155,888 50.26%
Doug Applegate (DEM) 154,267 49.74%
President - g16
Hillary Clinton (DEM) 159,081 50.66%
Donald J. Trump (REP) 135,576 43.18%
US Senate - g16
Kamala D. Harris (DEM) 154,850 60.31%
Loretta L. Sanchez (DEM) 101,926 39.69%

Map

Location

Two-county coastal district with 29% of the voters located in the Orange County portion, the largest cities being Dana Point, San Clemente and San Juan Capistrano, and 71% in the San Diego County portion, stretching from Camp Pendleton in the north to Del Mar to the south. The largest cities are Carlsbad, Oceanside, Vista and Encinitas.

Overlaps

Orange County (25.25%) San Diego County (74.75%)

AD73 (25.25%) AD75 (1.78%) AD76 (63.13%) AD77 (4.29%) AD78 (5.56%)

SD36 (89.68%) SD38 (4.24%) SD39 (6.09%)

CD49 (100.00%)

BOE4 (100.00%)

Registration (as of April 2018)

TOTAL VOTERS: 380,123

R +5.56%

DEM: 31.16% -- REP: 36.73% -- NPP: 26.56% -- OTH: 0.23%


     Ethnic voter registration: Latino 13.36%, Asian: 4.51%
     Permanent vote-by-mail voters: 67.94%


Darrell Issa (R)

Born: 1953-11-01

Term 0

ISSA, Darrell, a Representative from California; born in Cleveland, Cuyahoga County, Ohio, November 1, 1953; B.A., Siena Heights College, Adrian, Mich., 1976; United States Army, 1970-1980; business owner; elected as a Republican to the One Hundred Seventh and to the eight succeeding Congresses (January 3, 2001-present); chairman, Committee on Oversight and Government Reform (One Hundred Twelfth and One Hundred Thirteenth Congresses).

Organization Score
Progressive Punch0%
(Lifetime)3%
Americans for Democratic Action0%
American Civil Liberties Union11%
League of Conservation Voters3%
(Lifetime)4%
Planned Parenthood0%
AFL/CIO13%
(Lifetime)11%
Teamsters7%
United Food and Commercial Workers0%
American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees0%
American Federation of Government Employees18%
National Education Association0%
U.S. Chamber of Commerce85%
(Lifetime)93%
National Association of Manufacturers90%
National Federation of Independent Businesses100%
National Association of Police Organizations89%
National Rifle Association93%
FreedomWorks77%
Americans for Prosperity94%
Concerned Citizens Against Government Waste91%
Family Research Council92%
Numbers USA78%
American Conservative Union83%
(Lifetime)89%

TOTAL VOTERS: 380,123

R +5.56%

DEM: 31.16% -- REP: 36.73% -- NPP: 26.56% -- OTH: 0.23%

Past Registration/Turnout

p12: R +14.16 DEM: 101,148 (28.62%) REP: 151,155 (42.78%) NPP: 83,211 (23.55%) TOTAL - 357,171 - TURNOUT: 35.22%
g12: R +13.16 DEM: 106,846 (28.65%) REP: 155,945 (41.81%) NPP: 90,752 (24.33%) TOTAL - 380,336 - TURNOUT: 78.31%
p14: R +11.65 DEM: 104,508 (28.89%) REP: 146,645 (40.54%) NPP: 91,036 (25.16%) TOTAL - 362,406 - TURNOUT: 26.57%
g14: R +11.40 DEM: 103,955 (28.82%) REP: 145,042 (40.22%) NPP: 91,830 (25.46%) TOTAL - 361,569 - TURNOUT: 47.07%
p16: R +9.15 DEM: 108,714 (30.67%) REP: 141,159 (39.82%) NPP: 86,699 (24.46%) TOTAL - 358,181 - TURNOUT: 51.98%
g16: R +6.60 DEM: 120,775 (31.19%) REP: 146,338 (37.79%) NPP: 99,853 (25.79%) TOTAL - 387,045 - TURNOUT: 84.98%

Census Data (2015 ACS 5-Year Estimate)

Population & Ethnic Statistics


Total Population: 724,280
White: 444,608 (61.40%)
Latino: 187,530 (25.90%)
African-American: 18,663 (2.60%)
Asian: 47,620 (6.60%)

Household Income


Family Households: 176,413 (70.20%), Non-Family Households: 74,819 (29.80%)
Median Household Income: $74,916
Mean Household Income: $106,306
Per-Capita Income: $38,530

Housing


Owner Occupied: 150,108 (59.70%)
Median Value: $567,600
Renter Occupied: 101,124 (40.30%)
Median Rent: $1,591

Education


Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 41.70%
Graduate Degree: 77,077 (16.10%)

Poverty Level


Population Below Poverty Level: 11.20%
Population Without Health Insurance: 9,116 (5.40%)

District Profile

About a quarter of the voters are located in the Orange County portion of the district around the communities of Dana Point and San Clemente, which are located halfway between the downtowns of Los Angeles and San Diego.  Republicans outnumber Democrats two to one here. 

The majority of the voters are in northern San Diego, where Republicans account for nearly 60% of the voters.  Overall, Republicans outnumber Democrats by double digits, but Obama was able to win here by 1 point in his California landslide in 2008.  Jerry Brown lost the district by 18 points in 2010 and 10 points in 2014.  Voters along the coast are economically conservative; they tend to be moderate on social and environmental issues, but it’s the economic issues that are at the top of these voters’ minds.  

The northern portion of the district includes Camp Pendleton, situated along what otherwise would be prime California beachfront real estate.  Many locals will tell you the Marine Corps base is the only buffer that prevents the Los Angeles and San Diego Metro areas from merging.  

Assembly Districts

AD73, AD75, AD76, AD77, AD78

ZIP Codes

92003, 92007, 92008, 92009, 92010, 92011, 92014, 92024, 92028, 92029, 92037, 92054, 92055, 92056, 92057, 92058, 92067, 92075, 92078, 92081, 92083, 92084, 92091, 92121, 92127, 92130, 92624, 92629, 92651, 92672, 92673, 92675, 92677, 92679, 92688, 92691, 92692, 92694

Campaign 2018

Analysis

Just days following CA39 Rep Ed Royce's January announcement that he would retire at the end of the term, incumbent Republican Darrell Issa announced that he would not seek re-election to his seat. Issa's departure marked the second open California House seat in the 2018 cycle. Issa, first elected to the House in 2000, narrowly survived a bruising 2016 election against retired Marine Colonel Doug Applegate, eking out a narrow 1,621 vote victory in the closest House race that year. Issa spent $6.3 million in 2016, but had almost no outside help. Applegate reported spending $1.6 million, and received an additional $3.6 million of assistance from the DCCC, House Majority PAC, and other groups.

Shortly after Issa’s announcement, Board of Equalization member Diane Harkey jumped into the race, followed soon by Assemblyman Rocky Chavez and first-term San Diego County Supervisor Kristin Gaspar. With Democrats no longer having the luxury of running against Issa, the abundance of candidates became an issue, and a concerted effort to winnow the field began. Democrat Christine Prejean dropped out before the end of the filing period, and Applegate made an abrupt change in his residency in February, which would have positioned him to run for the San Diego County Board of Supervisors. His residency change came too late, however, and Applegate had no recourse but to remain in the race here.

Once the nomination period closed, the ballot was set with 16 candidates—four Democrats, eight Republicans, a Libertarian, a Green Party candidate, a Peace and Freedom candidate, and a No Party Preference candidate. All four Democrats reported solid fundraising numbers in 2017, with the self-funding Sara Jacobs contributing over $1 million to her campaign to bring her year-end haul to $1.39 million raised and $1.2 million on hand. Mike Levin raised $1.2 million and had $486,224 on hand. Levin has been receving the lion’s share of establishment support this time around, and though he fell short of the 60% needed for the CA Democratic Party’s endorsement, his 53% was well ahead of Applegate’s 27% and Jacobs’ 19%. Paul Kerr raised $1 million and had $520,000 on hand. At the time of publication, the first quarter fundraising totals for the Republican candidates were not yet available.

First quarter FEC reports show Republican San Juan Mayor Pro Tem Bryan Maryott loaned his campaign $400,000 and raised an additional $20,828, but burned through all but $59,241, with $170,000 spent on media buys.

When the lines were drawn, the 49th Congressional district had a GOP voter registration advantage of over fourteen points. While that has deteriorated in recent years, the district still maintains a 5.56% registration advantage for Republicans. Past votes on propositions indicate a district with a conservative bent, albeit one with a moderate streak more receptive to environmental issues. Of the 7 CA Republican-held districts that voted for Hillary Clinton, it was the only one to vote in favor of supporting the plastic bag ban in 2016, and the only one to vote in favor of the Citizens United advisory measure. Like CA39, Hillary Clinton remains the sole Democrat to have ever carried a state or district-wide race.

Most polling showed a tight field with Chavez and Harkey in close contention for the number one spot. In mid-May, the DCCC reserved its first batch of air time on ads opposing Chavez, while holding their fire on the more baggage-laden Harkey.

DCCC Research Material: Chavez | Harkey | Gaspar

Democratic Pre-Endorsement Conference Endorsement (Primary): GOES TO CAUCUS

Democratic Party Endorsement (Primary): NO CONSENSUS

Financials

CANDIDATE PARTY BEGINNING $ RECEIPTS SPENT ENDING $ DEBT LOANS END DATE SINCE CMTE
APPLEGATE, DOOUGLAS D 63,143 816,704 644,326 235,520 0 0 03/31/2018 0 C00581595
ISSA, DARRELL E R 329,152 1,706,364 1,265,481 770,035 0 0 03/31/2018 0 C00350520
LEVIN, MIKE D 0 1,566,163 1,050,825 515,338 41,071 0 03/31/2018 0 C00634253
KERR, PAUL D 0 1,956,742 1,611,786 344,955 22,856 0 03/31/2018 0 C00650036
JACOBS, SARA D 0 1,690,604 597,227 1,093,377 0 0 03/31/2018 0 C00660837
SCHOONOVER, JOSHUA R 0 8,323 7,809 514 0 0 03/31/2018 0 C00664557
HARKEY, DIANE R 0 312,509 133,225 179,284 31,499 30,000 03/31/2018 0 C00665513
GASPAR, KRISTIN R 0 261,252 75,758 185,494 0 0 03/31/2018 0 C00666842
MARYOTT, BRIAN R 0 420,828 361,587 59,241 400,000 400,000 03/31/2018 0 C00666859
CHRISTINA, PREJEAN D 0 37,527 22,475 15,052 0 0 03/31/2018 0 C00667063
CHAVEZ, ROCKY R 0 203,747 19,005 184,742 100,000 100,000 03/31/2018 0 C00667006
MEDWAY, DAVID DR. REP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SCHMITT, MICHAEL D REP 0 500 0 500 0 0 03/31/2018 0 C00673988
NORDAL, CRAIG REP 0 10,840 9,825 1,016 10,614 10,614 03/31/2018 0 C00672055
PENDLETON, ROBERT OTH 0 5,356 5,006 350 0 0 03/31/2018 0 C00673830
MILLS, JORDAN P OTH 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
HANCOCK, JOSHUA L LIB 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ST JOHN, DANIELLE GRE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Candidate Filing Status

NAME PARTY SIL ISSUE SIL FILE NOM ISSUE NOM FILE COUNTY
Doug Applegate D 2018-02-26 2018-03-07 SAN DIEGO
Supriya Christopher D 2018-01-22 ORANGE
Davis Goodman D 2018-03-08 ORANGE
Sara J Jacobs D 2018-02-13 2018-03-09 SAN DIEGO
Paul Kerr D 2018-02-23 2018-03-09 SAN DIEGO
Mike Levin D 2018-02-13 2018-03-01 ORANGE
Daniel Perlman D SAN DIEGO
Christina Prejean D 2018-02-26 SAN DIEGO
Danielle T St John Grn 2018-02-14 2018-03-09 SAN DIEGO
Joshua L Hancock Lib 2018-01-26 2018-02-05 2018-03-05 2018-03-05 ORANGE
Robert Pendleton NPP 2018-02-13 2018-03-08 SAN DIEGO
Jordan Mills PAF 2018-03-05 2018-03-09 SAN DIEGO
David Arnold R 2018-01-18 ORANGE
Christina M Borgese R 2018-02-07 2018-02-07 ORANGE
Rocky Chavez R 2018-03-07 2018-03-09 SAN DIEGO
Kristin Gaspar R 2018-03-01 2018-03-13 SAN DIEGO
Diane Harkey R 2018-02-15 2018-02-26 ORANGE
Bryan Maryott R 2018-01-17 2018-02-05 2018-02-13 2018-02-27 ORANGE
David Medway R 2018-02-13 2018-03-14 SAN DIEGO
Craig A Nordal R 2018-02-12 2018-03-08 SAN DIEGO
Mike Schmitt R 2018-03-02 2018-03-06 ORANGE
Joshua Schoonover R 2018-03-05 2018-03-05 SAN DIEGO

Primary Election - June 5, 2018

CANDIDATE NAME PARTY BALLOT DESCRIPTION
Doug Applegate D Attorney/Father/Businessperson
Sara Jacobs D Education Nonprofit CEO
Paul G Kerr D Small Business Owner
Mike Levin D Clean Energy Advocate
Danielle St. John Grn Human Rights Advocate
Joshua L Hancock Lib No Ballot Designation
Robert Pendleton NPP Surgeon/Businessman/Artist
Jordan P Mills PAF Professor
Rocky J Chavez R Assemblymember
Kristin Gaspar R Chairwoman, San Diego County Board of Supervisors
Diane L Harkey R Taxpayer Representative/Businesswoman
Brian Maryott R Mayor Pro Tem
David Medway R Physician/Business Owner
Craig A Nordal R Real Estate Businessman
Mike Schmitt R Neuroaudiologist/Small Businessman
Johshua Schoonover R Patent Attorney

Candidates

Doug Applegate (D)

DOUGLAS L. APPLEGATE is a trial lawyer and the principal of his own law firm. He is also a veteran of Operations Desert Storm and Iraqi Freedom, having retired from the Marine Corps after 32 years of service at the rank of colonel. He holds a bachelor's in Economics from Arizona State University, where he also received his law degree. He resides in San Clemente. ENDORSEMENTS: Sens. Ricardo Lara, Toni Atkins, Asm. Tom Daly, National Nurses United, VoteVets, former Rep. Loretta Sanchez, Justice Democrats; Campaign Manager: Luis Vizcaino (Luis Vizcaino Communications), Finance Director: Mara Lasko, Fundraising: Katharine Meyer Borst, Research: Point Loma Strategic Research

Mike Levin (D)

MIKE LEVIN (D) is a director of the Center for Sustainable Energy, director and co-founder of Sustain OC, and director of government affairs at FuelCell Energy, a fuel cell company that designs, manufactures, sells, and services fuel cell power plants for distributed power generation. Prior to his involvement in the clean energy industry, he served as an attorney at Bryan Cave LLP, focusing on environmental and energy regulatory compliance, project development, and government advocacy. He serves on the California Hydrogen Business Council Board of Directors, and previously served on the National Finance Committee for the Hillary for America 2016 Presidential campaign. A native of Lake Forest and a CORO Fellow, he holds a bachelor's in Political Science from Stanford, where he served as student body president, and a JD from Duke University. He resides in San Juan Capistrano with his wife, Chrissy, and their 2 young children. ENDORSEMENTS: Board of Equalization Member Fiona Ma, Controller Betty Yee, Reps. Adam Schiff, Jimmy Gomez, BOLDPAC, DFA Action. Campaign Consultants: Parke Skelton (SG&A Campaigns), Fundraising: Daily Consulting

Paul Kerr (D)

PAUL KERR (D) is a real estate investor and veteran of the U.S. Navy. Raised in Arizona, his family moved to San Diego County when he was 16. He enlisted in the Navy at the age of 17 and completed a tour off the coast of Vietnam after the war ended. He enrolled at San Diego State University at the age of 29, earning a bachelor's in Economics. After graduating, he worked for seven years as a commercial real estate appraiser with the Andrew A. Smith Company. He served as an Acquisitions Officer with Fairfield Residential, and joined Davlyn Investments in 1998, where he now serves as President. He resides in San Diego.

Sara Jacobs (D)

SARA JACOBS (D) is a former Policy Advisor for the Hillary for America Presidential Campaign and as a Conflict & Stabilization Policy Officer for the State Department under the Obama Administration. Prior to that, she worked at the United Nations in a variety of capacities, serving on the Innovation Unit at UNICEF, in the UN's Department of Peacekeeping Operations, and in Peace & Development for UNDP. She most recently served as CEO of Project Connect, a non-profit focused on improving internet connectivity and improving access at schools across the globe. Born in Del Mar, she graduated from Torrey Pines HS, holds a bachelor's in Political Science and a masters in International Relations from Columbia University, and currently resides in Encinitas. She is the granddaughter of billionaire philanthrophist and Qualcomm co-founder Irwin Jacobs. ENDORSEMENTS: EMILY's List

Danielle St. John (Grn)

DANIELLE ST. JOHN (Grn) is a former Dental Office Manager at Marcos Ortega DDS and founder of Oral Benefits Solutions. A San Diego native, she went to Moon Senior HS and Carlsbad HS and resides in Carlsbad

Joshua Hancock (Lib)

JOSHUA L HANCOCK (Lib), 39, is a Southern California Edison worker and former Marine MP who has been an Oceanside resident for over 20 years.

Robert Pendleton (NPP)

ROBERT PENDLETON (NPP) is an ophthalmologist and Medical Director for Pendleton Eye Center and North Coast Surgery Center. A native of the San Diego area, he graduated from La Jolla HS in 1977, then enrolled in UC-Davis, earning his bachelor's in Biochemistry in 1981. He earned his masters in Chemistry from UC-Davis in 1982, then enrolled in the MD/Ph.D. program at the University of Illinois, earning his MD from University of Illinois-Chicago and his PhD in biochemistry from University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign in 1990. He completed a one-year Internal Medicine Residency at Northwestern University's School of Medicine, followed by a three-year Ophthalmology Residency. He began his private practice in Buffalo, NY in 1994. In 1996, he relocated to Minnesota and opened a practice in the Brainerd Lakes area. In 1997, he returned to his native California and established the Pendelton Eye Center in Oceanside. He has served on the Board of Trustees for the Oceanside Museum of Art, and resides in Carlsbad.

Jordan Mills (PAF)

JORDAN MILLS (PAF) is a socialist, educator, and union organizer. Raised in San Diego, he graduated from Vista HS, then studied Communications at San Diego State University. Since 2000, he has worked as a professor and debate coach at Southwestern College in San Diego County. He resides in Oceanside with his wife, Ann Johnson.

Diane Harkey (R)

DIANE HARKEY (R) (b. 6/20/51) was first elected to the Dana Point City Council in 2004. Mid-way through her first term on the Council, she made an unsuccessful run in a 2006 Special Election for SD35, losing to Tom Harman by just 236 votes. Two years later, she successfully ran for the State Assembly, winning re-election in 2010 and 2012. After being termed out of her Assembly seat, she successfully ran for the newly-redrawn Board of Equalization 4th District, defeating Democrat Nader Shahatit by a decisive 61.4%/38.6% margin. Prior to holding office, she enjoyed a 30-year career in corporate finance and banking. She holds a bachelor's in Economics from UC-Irvine, and resides in Dana Point. ENDORSEMENTS: Darrell Issa

Kristin Gaspar (R)

KRISTIN GASPAR (R) was elected to the San Diego County Board of Supervisors in 2016, narrowly unseating incumbent Dave Roberts by 1,272 votes in a 50.28%/49.72% contest. Roberts had been embroiled in controversy after the Board paid out $310,000 to settle claims made by former employees alleging inappropriate use of County funds, promoting a hostile work environment, retaliation against staff members, and several other issues. Prior to her election, she served on the Encinitas City Council, first winning election in 2010 as the youngest person ever elected to the council. She is the CFO for Gaspar Doctors of Physical Therapy, which opened in Encinitas in 1994 and is owned and operated by her husband, Paul, a former director of the California Physical Therapy Association. She holds a bachelor's in Journalism from Arizona State University. She and her husband reside in Encinitas. ENDORSEMENTS: San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, Rep Ed Royce. Campaign Consultant: Jason Cabel Roe

Brian Maryott (R)

BRIAN MARYOTT (R), 55, is a retired financial service executive and first-term councilman for San Juan Capistrano, first winning election to the 5th Council District in 2016. Prior to his retirement this year, he was a Senior Vice President with Wells Fargo Advisors. Raised in Massachusetts, he graduated from American International College in Western Massachusetts and worked for the Massachusetts House of Representatives for several years, serving as a Legislative Aide and Staff Director. Maryott is pledging to spend at least $100,000 of his own money, and has stated that Republicans in Congress need to be doing more to support President Donald Trump.

Rocky Chavez (R)

ROCKY CHÁVEZ (R) (b. 5/12/51) spent more than 28 years as a U.S. Marine, rising to the rank of colonel and serving as chief of staff of the 4th Marine Division. Chávez was elected to the Oceanside City Council in 2002 where he served for seven years. In 2009, he was appointed Undersecretary of the CA Dept of Veterans' Affairs by then Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger. He was elected to the 76th Assembly District in 2012, winning re-election in 2014 and 2016.  He briefly explored running for U.S. Senate in 2016, but withdrew before the primary.  He graduated from CSU Chico. He and his wife, Mary, have three children, one of whom is a physician. ENDORSEMENTS: Former Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger

Michael D Schmitt (R)

MIKE SCHMITT (R) is a health care practicioner boasting he has more advanced degrees than any other candidate running in the race.

David Medway (R)

DR. DAVID C. MEDWAY (R), 51, is an internist specializing in weight control. He lists his ballot designation as 'Physician/Business Owner'. He earned his bachelor's in Psychology from UCLA and his MD from George Washington University. He resides in Carlsbad with his wife, Laura, an attorney.

Craig Nordal (R)

CRAIG A NORDAL (R) is the principal at Nordal Appraisal, a real estate appraisal firm. Born in Hemet, he graduated from Hemet HS, then earned his bachelor's in Agriculture-Fruit Industries at California State Polytechnic University-Pomona in 1978. He earned a second bachelor's in Music in 1984 from San Diego State University, and also earned a teaching credential in Music Performance. Since 1989, he has worked as a self-employed residential real estate appraiser. A self-described 'disciple of Jesus Christ' and a strong supporter of President Trump, he is running on an anti-abortion, anti-gay marriage, pro-gun platform. He resides in Encinitas.

Joshua Schoonover (R)

JOSHUA SCHOONOVER (R) is a patent attorney at Coastal Patent Law Group. After earning his bachelor's in Chemical Physics from San Diego State University in 2005, he worked as a project engineer for GeneOhm developing antigen detecting diagnostics for use in medical applications. In 2007, he enrolled in Western Sierra Law School and began working as a mechanical engineer developing syringe delivery and storage systems for Artes Medical. He continued working as a patent agent for REVA Medical from 2008 to 2009, and finished his law degree in 2011. He served as President of the National Association of Patent Practitioners from 2011 until 2013, when he was admitted to the California Bar. A former NASCAR driver, he resides in Oceanside with his wife and daughter.

Campaign Ads

Remember Me ( + Applegate)
campaign ad From Doug Applegate

Unfit For Command ( + Applegate)
campaign ad From Doug Applegate

Knockout ( - Chavez)
ie ad From DCCC

Tax Fighter ( + Harkey)
campaign ad From Diane Harkey

Different ( + Jacobs)
campaign ad From Sara Jacobs

Inspired ( + Jacobs)
campaign ad From Sara Jacobs

My Daughter ( + Jacobs)
campaign ad From Sara Jacobs

Something Big ( + Jacobs)
campaign ad From Sara Jacobs

Tough Challenges ( + Jacobs)
campaign ad From Sara Jacobs

New Generation ( + Jacobs)
campaign ad From Sara Jacobs

Will ( + Jacobs)
ie ad From Women Vote!

Line in the Sand ( + Kerr)
campaign ad From Paul Kerr

Medicare for All ( + Kerr)
campaign ad From Paul Kerr

American Dream ( + Kerr)
campaign ad From Paul Kerr

Reckless ( + Kerr)
campaign ad From Paul Kerr

Rigged ( + Kerr)
campaign ad From Paul Kerr

Garage ( + Kerr)
campaign ad From Paul Kerr

Adam Schiff ( + Levin)
campaign ad From Mike Levin

Immigration ( + Levin)
campaign ad From Mike Levin

Clean Energy ( + Levin)
campaign ad From Mike Levin

Planned Parenthood ( + Levin)
campaign ad From Mike Levin

No Toll Road ( + Levin)
campaign ad From Mike Levin

San Onofre ( + Levin)
campaign ad From Mike Levin

Campaign 2016

Election Results

June Top-Two Primary
Darrell Issa R-Inc 84626 50.82%
Doug Applegate D 75808 45.52%
Ryan Glenn Wingo NPP 6087 3.66%
November General Election
Darrell Issa R-Inc 155888 50.26%
Doug Applegate D 154267 49.74%

Analysis

This is an ordinarily safe Republican district, although the GOP's voter registration advantage narrowed from 14% in 2012 to just 6.59% this year. Nevertheless, Republican incumbent Darrell Issa has consistently polled at or around 60% and defeated his opponents by margins of around 20% since the advent of the top two primary, allowing any concerns about the district's structural shift to be swept under the rug. This year's primary results were not to be so easily dismissed.

Issa was the top vote getter in the primary, raising $759,000 and finishing with 50.82%. Democrat Doug Applegate put together a credible campaign, raising $186,000 and taking the number two spot with 45.52%. No Party Preference candidate Ryan Glenn Wingo, a MiraCosta Community College student, reported raising no money and claimed the remaining 3.66%. With Issa receiving just 1.64% over the combined total of his two opponents, there was growing excitement among Democrats salivating at the chance to take down a Congressman they viewed as one of the leading instigators of what they considered to be a series of witch hunts against the Obama Administration during his time as chairman of the House Oversight Committee.

Following the primary, a DCCC-commissioned poll showed Issa and Applegate tied at 43% with 14% undecided. The poll also found GOP nominee Donald Trump with 60% unfavorable/34% favorable ratings and trailing Hillary Clinton 41% to 38% with 21% undecided within the district--Issa became one of the controversial GOP nominee's most fervent supporters. Issa's net worth of over $350 million ranks him as the wealthiest member of Congress by a wide margin, and he maintained a significant cash on hand advantage of $3.7 million to Applegate's $135,000. Beginning in early September, the House Majority PAC, a SuperPAC affiliated with Democratic leadership, launched the first salvos opposing Issa, with the DCCC entering the fray a month later. By the time all the receipts were tallied, nearly $3.7 million in independent expenditures had been logged. The DCCC was by far the biggest spender, deploying $2.3 million to support Applegate along with another $102,000 to oppose Issa. The House Majority PAC added another $791,000 to support Issa and $200,000 opposing Issa. The CA Labor Federation jumped in with an additional $154,000 opposing Issa. Fundraising for both Applegate and Issa rocketed into overdrive, with final campaign statements showing Issa spending a staggering $6.2 million and Applegate spending $1.6 million. Issa resorted to sending out campaign mailers featuring President Obama, thanking him for signing legislation Issa supported, a move Obama derided as 'shameless' in response. 

Court records were unearthed in September that proved embarrassing for Applegate's campaign. The records revealed that in 2004 Applegate was accused of stalking his ex-wife. A judge granted two restraining orders and forced Applegate to temporarily surrender his firearms. Additional records were unearthed highlighting a 2000 DUI charge for which Applegate eventually pled guilty to reckless driving.

In late September, the Issa campaign launched www.colonedougapplegateforcongress.com, an attack website targeting Applegate on taxes, trade, and a host of other issues.

On election night, Issa was clinging to a close 3,979 vote lead. As the provisional votes were counted, the results began to narrow, prompting Issa to fire off a fundraising e-mail with the subject line 'I won, But Now the Liberals Are Trying to Steal the Election' and warning of 'thousands of illegal, unregistered voters' tilting the results to his opponent. The race remained uncalled until November 28th, when the AP finally declared Issa the winner. Issa's 1,621 vote victory was the closest House, Assembly, or Senate race in 2016, and the worst performance for any CA GOP incumbent in a district with a Republican registration advantage. Final turnout in the primary was 51.98%, while 80.15% of the district's registered voters cast a ballot for this race in November, the single highest percentage for any House, Assembly, or Senate race in 2016. 

View DCCC Research Page: Darrell Issa (R-Inc)  NRCC Research Page: Doug Applegate

Issa TV Spots: Our Congressman  â€¢  Litmus Test

Financials

CANDIDATE PARTY BEGINNING $ RECEIPTS SPENT ENDING $ DEBT LOANS END DATE SINCE CMTE
APPLEGATE, DOUGLAS LOREN DEM 0 2,082,204 1,678,302 27,495 33,544 5 12/31/2016 0 C00581595
WINGO , RYAN GLENN NPA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ISSA, DARRELL REP 3,750,024 2,890,441 6,311,313 329,152 48,302 0 12/31/2016 0 C00350520

Candidates

Darrell Issa* (R)

DARRELL ISSA (pronounced EYE-sah) is of Lebanese descent. Prior to his election to Congress, he founded an electronics manufacturing firm specializing in automobile convenience, audio and security products.  
              
Issa entered the U.S. Army during his senior year in high school and, after attending college on an ROTC scholarship, attained the rank of captain (tank platoon leader).  He is a graduate of Siena Heights University in Adrien, Michigan and is currently serving on its Board of Trustees. He and his wife, Katharine, live in Vista and have one son.

Doug Applegate (D)

DOUGLAS L. APPLEGATE is a trial lawyer and the principal of his own law firm. He is also a veteran of Operations Desert Storm and Iraqi Freedom, having retired from the Marine Corps after 32 years of service at the rank of colonel. He holds a bachelor's in Economics from Arizona State University, where he also received his law degree. He resides in San Clemente. ENDORSEMENTS: Sens. Ricardo Lara, Toni Atkins, Asm. Tom Daly, National Nurses United, VoteVets, former Rep. Loretta Sanchez, Justice Democrats; Campaign Manager: Luis Vizcaino (Luis Vizcaino Communications), Finance Director: Mara Lasko, Fundraising: Katharine Meyer Borst, Research: Point Loma Strategic Research

Ryan Glenn Wingo (IND)

RYAN G. WINGO (NPP) is a student at MiraCosta Community College running on a fiscally conservative, socially liberal, pro-2nd amendment platform.

Campaign 2014

Election Results

June Top-Two Primary
Darrell Issa R-Inc 56558 61.89%
Dave Peiser D 25946 28.39%
Noboru Isagawa D 8887 9.72%
November General Election
Darrell Issa R-Inc 98161 60.17%
Dave Peiser D 64981 39.83%

Analysis

Three candidates appeared on the June Top Two Primary ballot. The top vote getter by a wide margin was incumbent Republican Darrell Issa with 62%. Democratic businessman Dave Peiser came in a distant second with 28%. Democrat Noboru Isagawa, a retired investment counselor from Laguna Niguel, came in third with 10%. Another Democrat, Johnny Moore from Oceanside, ran a write-in campaign and received 16 votes.

Peiser made a moderate effort, raising and spending about $84,000. But this is a safe Republican district and Issa was easily reelected.

Financials

CANDIDATE PARTY BEGINNING $ RECEIPTS SPENT ENDING $ DEBT LOANS END DATE SINCE CMTE
ISAGAWA, NOBORU DEM 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOORE, JOHNNY DEM 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 C00555185
PEISER, DAVE DEM 0 94,235 85,321 8,273 13,000 13,000 12/31/2014 0 C00549212
ISSA, DARRELL REP 1,749,490 3,750,001 1,749,467 3,750,024 5,710 0 12/31/2014 0 C00350520

Candidates

Darrell Issa* (R)

DARRELL ISSA (pronounced EYE-sah) is of Lebanese descent. Prior to his election to Congress, he founded an electronics manufacturing firm specializing in automobile convenience, audio and security products.  
              
Issa entered the U.S. Army during his senior year in high school and, after attending college on an ROTC scholarship, attained the rank of captain (tank platoon leader).  He is a graduate of Siena Heights University in Adrien, Michigan and is currently serving on its Board of Trustees. He and his wife, Katharine, live in Vista and have one son.

Dave Peiser (D)

Dave Peiser
Noboru Isagawa (D)

Noboru Isagawa

Campaign 2012

Election Results

June Top-Two Primary
Darrell Issa R-Inc 71329 61.09%
Jerry Tetalman D 35816 30.68%
Dick Eiden NPP 7988 6.84%
Albin Novinec NPP 1626 1.39%
November General Election
Darrell Issa R-Inc 159725 58.16%
Jerry Tetalman D 114893 41.84%

Analysis

When the Citizens Redistricting Commission approved the new district lines, the residences of GOP Reps. Darrell Issa and Brian Bilbray were both located in the district, but Bilbray unsuccessfully sought reelection in CD52, losing to Democrat Scott Peters.

Three candidates challenged Issa in the June Top Two Primary. Issa, with 61% of the vote, was easily the top vote getter. Democrat Jerry Tetalmana real estate agent, former nurse and an anti-war activist, came in second with 31%, thus qualifying him for the November runoff against Issa. The other two, both running as No Party Preference candidates were Dick Eiden (7%), a retired longtime political activist for progressive causes; and Albin Novinec (1%), a realtor and retired Marine.

Tetalman put in a modest effort, raising and spending just under $100,000, but the effort had minimum impact on the election outcome.

 

Financials

CANDIDATE PARTY BEGINNING $ RECEIPTS SPENT ENDING $ DEBT LOANS END DATE SINCE CMTE
TETALMAN, JERRY DEM 0 136,168 132,720 3,448 8,000 13,000 12/31/2012 0 C00500975
EIDEN, RICHARD JOHN NPA 0 30,282 30,282 0 0 0 09/30/2012 0 C00506659
NOVINEC, ALBIN DENNIS NPA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 C00518704
ISSA, DARRELL REP 386,002 2,478,710 1,115,222 1,749,490 10,817 0 12/31/2012 0 C00350520

Candidates

Darrell Issa* (R)

DARRELL ISSA (pronounced EYE-sah) is of Lebanese descent. Prior to his election to Congress, he founded an electronics manufacturing firm specializing in automobile convenience, audio and security products.  
              
Issa entered the U.S. Army during his senior year in high school and, after attending college on an ROTC scholarship, attained the rank of captain (tank platoon leader).  He is a graduate of Siena Heights University in Adrien, Michigan and is currently serving on its Board of Trustees. He and his wife, Katharine, live in Vista and have one son.

Jerry Tetalman (D)

Jerry Tetalman
Dick Eiden (IND)

Dick Eiden
Albin Novinec (IND)

Albin Novinec
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